Thursday, October 19, 2006

Almost.....There.....

Approval of Republicans at record low: poll

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - With congressional elections less than three weeks away, the Republican party's approval ratings are at an all-time low, with approval of the Republican-led Congress at its lowest point in 14 years, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released on Wednesday.

Forty-seven percent of respondents said they were less in favor of keeping Republicans in control of Congress, compared to 14 percent who were more in favor of maintaining the current congressional makeup, according to the poll.

Only 16 percent of respondents approve of the job Congress is doing, the lowest level since 1992, NBC said.

In October 1994, when Democrats held congressional majorities, Congress had a 24 percent job approval, NBC said. Democrats lost 52 House and 8 Senate seats in the 1994 midterm elections.
Sixteen percent? Not even the usual 30% of Americans who are too dumb to do anything but nod like bobblehead dolls at Republicans?

Well, now, this IS an interesting poll!

But wait! There's more!
Bush had a job approval rating of 38 percent, down 1 percentage point from a previous NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released earlier this month after the Foley news first broke, NBC said.
So even with news sort of "evening-keel" after the Foley scandal storm, and people are less focused on sex and more on the nation as a whole, Bush is back to dropping in polls? That's not a real good sign for his last two years. If he's a lame duck now, he's going to be barely quacking after November 7.

Percentages of likely voters show some interesting signs as well:
Asked who they planned to vote for in the congressional election, 37 percent of those polled said Republicans and 52 percent said Democrats. The 15 percent difference was the highest disparity ever in the poll and up from a 9-point difference a month ago, NBC said.
"The highest disparity ever".

There's a deep disconnect in the Republican party and the populace, and the Dems, while having done little to nothing to exploit it, will back into power, possibly controlling the entire legislative branch.

It may not be a question of "if", but a question of "by how much". Will the margin be enough to be fillibuster proof? Veto proof? Will moderate Republicans, those who survive this onslaught, side with Democrats on bipartisan legislation, à la the Gang of Fourteen?

Stay tuned...

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