Final Pre-Election Senate Poll

On the morning before Election Day, the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power summary rates 48 seats as Democrat or Leans Democrat, 48 seats as Republican or Leans Republican, and four Toss-Ups that will determine control of the Senate. Today, we are shifting Tennessee from “Leans Republican” to “Toss-Up” and Montana from “Leans Democrat” to “Toss-Up.” They join Missouri and Virginia in the Toss-Up column. See our complete State-by-State Summary.

Rhode Island and Maryland remain in the “Leans Democrat” category.

If all of the races go as expected, Democrats would have to win three of the four remaining Toss-Ups to reach the magic number of 51 seats to gain control of the Senate. If the Democrats win just one Toss-Up, there would be a 50-50 tie. In that circumstance, Vice-President Dick Cheney would cast the deciding vote in his Constitutional role as the presiding officer of the Senate.

Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman (D) is now running for re-election as a Independent after losing a Primary Campaign to Ned Lamont (D). However, this race has no impact on the Senate Balance of Power considerations since whichever candidate wins will line up as a Democrat when the Senate convenes next January.

Someone woke up Tennessee, apparently.

Please donate to Jon Tester's campaign for one final push tonight. He needs only a few thousand dollars to get that final push in.